FAISAL RAFIQUE
30 Jun
30Jun

The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) is a Eurasian political, economic, international security and defense organization. It is the world's largest regional organization in terms of geographic scope and population, covering approximately 60% of the area of Eurasia, 40% of the world population. Its combined GDP is around 20% of global GDP.

The SCO is the successor to the Shanghai Five, formed in 1996 between the People's Republic of China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, and Tajikistan. On 15 June 2001, the leaders of these nations and Uzbekistan met in Shanghai to announce a new organization with deeper political and economic cooperation; the SCO Charter was signed on 7 July 2002 and entered into force on 19 September 2003. Its membership has since expanded to eight states, with India and Pakistan joining on 9 June 2017. Several countries are engaged as observers or dialogue partners.

The SCO is governed by the Heads of State Council (HSC), its supreme decision-making body, which meets once a year.

NATO  western alliance.

Sensitivity with west.

NATO expanding towards east.

NATO containment policy with China.

Created a sensitivity and political insecurity for Russia.

SCO  eastern alliance.

The Shanghai Five:

The Shanghai Five group was created on 26 April 1996 with the signing of the Treaty on Deepening Military Trust in Border Regions in Shanghai by the heads of states of China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia and Tajikistan.

On 24 April 1997 the same countries signed the Treaty on Reduction of Military Forces in Border Regions in a meeting in Moscow, Russia. On 20 May 1997 Russian President Boris Yeltsin and Chinese President Jiang Zemin signed a declaration on a "multipolar world". Russian President Vladimir Putin, Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev, Chinese President Jiang Zemin, Kyrgyz President Askar Akayev, and Tajik President Emomali Rahman, at one time the leaders of the Shanghai Five.

Subsequent annual summits of the Shanghai Five group occurred in Almaty, Kazakhstan in 1998, in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan in 1999, and in Dushanbe, Tajikistan in 2000. At the Dushanbe summit, members agreed to "oppose intervention in other countries' internal affairs on the reason of 'humanitarianism' and 'protecting human rights;' and support the efforts of one another in safeguarding the five countries' national independence, sovereignty, territorial integrity, and social stability." The Shanghai Five structure helped speed up the members' resolution of border disputes, agree on military deployments in border areas, and address security threats.

SCO and Pakistan :

Benefits of SCO for Pakistan :

Economic Advantages :

Central Asian Republic.

Metallic and non metallic ores, Gypsum and Limestone ==> Industrial development.

Deposits of Natural gas and ==> Energy Sector CASA 1000 Tapi pipeline.

Russia :

Russia is the largest producer of Natural gas. A big energy sector suitable for Pakistan growth.

China :

Modularize with respect to CPEC 2.0.

Foreign direct investment and CPEC.

Security :

SCO institution RATS.

Regional anti-terrorism structure (RATS).

To fight against three evils. (3-exits).

  1. Terrorism.
  2. Separation.
  3. Extremism.

Joint military exercise ( PAT Russia/Pakistan).

Capacity Building.

Intelligence share.

Normalize Political and Diplomatic Relations :

India ======SAARC Dispute====>>> Alternative Platform.

Benefits of SCO from Pakistan :

  • Security :

Pakistan, India, Iran -----> South Asia.

  • Afghanistan shares larger borders with Pakistan :

East Turkmenistan Islamic border (ETIM).

Islamic movement of Uzbekistan (IMU).

Geological placement :

CARs (landlock).

Russia (Access to warm water).

China ( short and undisputed route).

Challenges of SCO :

OFF-setting USA and NATO in the region because of strategic policies of Russia.

Security issues :

  1. Extremism(Rats)
  2. Separatism(Rats)
  3. Terrorism(Rats)

Leadership role of China and Russia :

China (geo-economic ) Ideology.

Russia (geo-strategic) ideology.

India and Pakistan :

Water protection.

Violation of LOC.

Kashmir problem.

Purpose of SCO :

Strengthening and safe guard regional security and to promote the common development of the member states.

Achievements of SCO :

SCO has reached out to not only to other countries but also to other multilateral organization.

UN granted it as observer state in general assembly in 2004.

A number of events and agreements in 2006 and 2007 indicate a cautious development of SCO to a full grow security organization.

In July 2007, SCO energy club was established with which SCO may aim for a common energy approach.

Provide a cooperative forum for consultations, which has allowed both smaller and bigger member to balance their national interest and power in geographic Area.

Meeting of SCO:

The SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) has meetings where leaders and important people from member countries get together. They talk about how they can work together better. They discuss things like safety, stopping terrorism, helping each other with money, and sharing cultures. These meetings happen at different times and places. They talk about what's important at the moment. If you want to know about a specific meeting, you can check the SCO's website or the news to find out when and where it's happening and what they're talking about.

SCO Secretary General:

 The SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) Secretary-General is like the boss of the organization. They make sure everything runs smoothly and help countries work together. Their job is to organize meetings and activities and make sure everyone gets along. The Secretary-General is an important leader who helps countries understand each other and cooperate better.

Dialogue partner status:

"Dialogue partner status" means that a country or organization isn't officially part of a group like the SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization), but they still have a special relationship with it. They're allowed to join discussions and activities of the SCO, even though they're not full members.

These dialogue partners can talk, share ideas, and sometimes work on projects with the SCO's member countries. They're usually interested in the region and issues that matter to the SCO, like security, trade, and culture.

Countries or organizations with dialogue partner status might want to get closer to the SCO and might become full members in the future.

Conclusion:

In conclusion , the SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) brings countries together to deal with shared problems. They talk about things like safety, money, and culture. Even countries that aren't full members can join in discussions to help out. As the SCO grows, working together and understanding each other remains key for making progress in the region.


SCO SUMMIT ISLAMABAD 2024 :

Introduction

The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit, scheduled for October 15-16, 2024, in Pakistan, marks a significant moment in Pakistan's diplomatic journey. By hosting the SCO summit, Pakistan seeks to demonstrate its increasing relevance in regional and global affairs, particularly in diplomacy, security, and economic matters.

The summit's overarching theme is "Strengthening Multilateral Dialogue; Striving towards Sustainable Peace and Prosperity. " The core focus areas of the summit include:

  • Regional security
  • Counter-terrorism
  • Connectivity networks
  • Economic opportunities
  • Climate change issues

The Importance of SCO

The SCO is a significant organization due to its vast membership and economic potential. It is comprised of nine key member states: China, Russia, India, Iran, Pakistan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. These countries collectively represent:

  • 41% of the global population.
  • 23% of the world's GDP, approximately USD 24.4 trillion.
  • One-fourth of global oil reserves, and other valuable natural resources.

In addition to its nine member states, the SCO includes 17 observers and dialogue partners, making it an organization of 26 countries. Its membership and observers span Asia and Eurasia, making it one of the largest regional cooperation bodies in the world.

Economic Potential of SCO

The sheer size of the SCO in terms of population, GDP, and resources offers it significant economic leverage. The member states, particularly the Central Asian Republics (CARs), are rich in resources and offer lucrative trade and energy opportunities. If the SCO can continue expanding its cooperation, it could become a powerful regional block with considerable influence in global economics and politics.

          Significance of Pakistan for SCO

1. Geostrategic Importance

Pakistan's geographic location places it in a unique position within the SCO. As a country that links Central Asia, South Asia, and the Middle East, Pakistan is pivotal in geopolitics and geo-economics. One of the key advantages for Pakistan within the SCO is its ability to provide sea routes for the landlocked CARS. This makes Pakistan a crucial player in expanding regional trade and infrastructure connectivity.

2. Economic Potential of Pakistan

Pakistan is rich in natural resources, including coal, gas, and minerals, which enhance its appeal as a trading partner within the SCO. By exploring trade agreements with other member countries, Pakistan stands to significantly boost its exports and attract foreign investment. If policies related to free trade and reduced tariffs are implemented within the SCO framework, Pakistan could become an essential market for member states. 

Moreover, Pakistan's potential as a transit hub for energy resources, especially for landlocked countries like Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, positions it as an important partner in regional economic integration.

3. Role in Regional Security

Pakistan's long history of combating terrorism has provided it with considerable experience in handling security threats. This experience allows Pakistan to play a pivotal role within the SCO's Regional Anti-Terrorism Structure (RATS). Given the common security challenges faced by SCO members, Pakistan's involvement in addressing these threats is critical, and it positions the country as a leader in regional counter-terrorism efforts.

               Strategic Opportunities for Pakistan

1. Engagement in Diplomatic Relations

Hosting the SCO summit allows Pakistan to enhance its diplomatic ties with key regional powers, including China, Russia, and the CARs. It offers Pakistan a chance to shift away from strained bilateral relations and towards more positive multilateral engagement.

One of the most significant diplomatic aspects of the summit is Pakistan's invitation to India to participate. Despite tensions, particularly over Kashmir, this multilateral platform provides both countries an opportunity to ease tensions, even though India's External Affairs Minister has stated that the visit will focus strictly on the summit, with no discussion on bilateral relations.

This demonstrates Pakistan's ability to use multilateral diplomacy to engage with countries, such as India, where bilateral tensions persist. Such engagements offer a chance to move beyond contentious issues, focus on regional stability, and foster cooperative dialogue.

2. Economic Opportunities

The SCO summit offers significant economic potential for Pakistan. Besides the existing China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), Pakistan has opportunities to forge new economic partnerships in areas like:

Technology : Attracting investment in technological innovation and development.

Energy : Collaborating with Central Asian nations to improve regional energy infrastructure, such as the TAP pipeline that links Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India. 

Agriculture : Developing agricultural trade relations, which can diversify Pakistan's economy beyond traditional sectors. In the long run, these partnerships can position Pakistan as a regional trade and logistics hub, with countries like Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan using Pakistani infrastructure for their exports.

3. Addressing Climate Change

Although Pakistan contributes minimally to global carbon emissions, it remains one of the most vulnerable countries to the effects of climate change. The summit gives Pakistan a platform to highlight its vulnerability and advocate for stronger regional climate cooperation. As a host, Pakistan can:

  • Raise awareness about how climate change disproportionately affects developing nations.
  • Propose frameworks for climate resilience and risk management.
  • Advocate for climate financing from richer nations and international organizations to support vulnerable countries.

Through such initiatives, Pakistan can play a leading role in setting the regional climate agenda, advancing sustainable development goals within the SCO.

          Diplomatic Challenges for Pakistan

1. Internal Political Instability

Pakistan faces significant internal political instability and governance challenges. These domestic issues can undermine its capacity to fully capitalize on the strategic opportunities presented by the summit. Political instability affects Pakistan's ability to consistently participate in SCO activities and diminishes its credibility on the global stage. To become a more proactive and influential SCO member, Pakistan must address its internal governance and stability issues.

2. The Dominance of Major Powers in SCO

China and Russia are the most powerful members of the SCO, and they often set the organization's agenda. For smaller countries like Pakistan, this dominance can be a challenge as their voices may be over shadowed.

To overcome this, Pakistan must:

Form alliances with smaller SCO members, such as CARs, to ensure its voice is heard indecision-making processes.

Focus on key areas, such as counter-terrorism and trade connectivity, where Pakistan can make meaningful contributions without being marginalized.

3. Balancing Relations with the West

The SCO is sometimes seen as a counter balance to Western alliances like NATO. Pakistan must navigate its participation carefully to avoid straining relations with Western countries, particularly the United States. It should work to present the SCO as a platform for regional cooperation, not as an anti-Western alliance. This balancing act will be crucial for maintaining Pakistan's relationships with both the East and the West.

               Policy Recommendations

To maximize the strategic benefits of the 2024 SCO summit and minimize the diplomatic challenges, Pakistan should adopt the following policies:

Focus on Confidence Building Measures (CBMs): Pakistan should work towards reducing conflicts and enhancing regional stability through CBMs.

Avoid Bilateral Conflicts: The SCO should remain a platform for multilateral discussions, and bilateral disputes should not overshadow the organization's collective goals.

Advocate for Equal Say: Pakistan should push for equal participation and decision-making power within the SCO, especially for smaller states like CARs.

Promote Climate Change Cooperation: Pakistan should advocate for regional climate change cooperation, promoting frameworks such as climate financing for developing countries.

Conclusion

Pakistan's role as the host of the 2024 SCO summit presents a unique mix of strategic opportunities and diplomatic challenges. By leveraging multilateral diplomacy, enhancing economic cooperation, and addressing regional security and climate change, Pakistan can enhance its standing within the SCO. However, internal governance issues and the dominance of larger powers like China and Russia will require Pakistan to navigate carefully, ensuring its interests are protected without alienating any global power. Through proactive policies and diplomatic engagement, Pakistan can turn the summit into a platform for advancing both its national and regional interests.



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